Development and analysis of AIDS epidemic agent-based computer model applying an algorithm for explicit calculation of HIV replicability

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Anna Smirnova1, Mikhail Ponomarenko2, Sergey Lashin3
1ICG SB RAS, Novosibirsk, Russia NSU, Novosibirsk, Russia, asmirnova@bionet.nsc.ru
2ICG SB RAS, Novosibirsk, Russia, pon@bionet.nsc.ru
3ICG SB RAS, Novosibirsk, Russia NSU, Novosibirsk, Russia, lashin@bionet.nsc.ru

Different strains of HIV contribute differently to the course of the disease. For its evaluation, 1,336 HIV strains were analyzed. An agent model of the spread of HIV infection in the population has been developed. We analyzed 5 scenarios for the development of the HIV epidemic in Russia, depending on the initial data. Without additional measures, after 10 years, the percentage of HIV patients in Russia will increase from 1% to 2.45%. Comprehensive measures to increase the use of barrier contraception, reduce the number of joint injections among drug users and improve the situation with treatment coverage can reduce the percentage of patients from 1% to 0.3% and prevent the emergence of new patients.

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kazfdr@bionet.nsc.ru
Kazantsev Fedor
3 years ago

You did not mentioned the tool that you have used for agent model development. Did you used some specific tools like netLogo or it is completely your own solution?

anna
anna
3 years ago

I did not use any additional tools. С ++ programming language only. Thanks for your interest to my poster.